Energy Transition

ARCH2’s Hydrogen Hurdle | Competing in the Clean Hydrogen Market

bySmayan Sharma
levelized-cost-of-hydrogen-for-projects-in-appalachia-and-texas

Late last month, the DOE awarded its first tranches of funding for Phase 1 of the H2Hubs initiative, designed to reduce project planning costs. ARCHES, ARCH2 and PNWH2 received up to $90 million collectively, cutting their Phase 1 costs by 20%.

However, the financial viability of some of these hubs remains uncertain. In Enverus Intelligence® Research’s inaugural Hydrogen Fundamentals released earlier this year, we model subsidized costs for green and blue projects in the ARCH2 hub ranging between $4.20/kg and $13/kg, and $1.30/kg and $23/kg respectively. Even after incorporating the 45V and 45Q PTC tax credits, Appalachian projects struggle to compete with gray hydrogen ($1.50/kg) and would require material incremental funding to make a dent in the clean hydrogen market. Rather than investing in Appalachia, funding should be funneled to regions in proximity to abundant, low-cost resources first, such as the Gulf Coast, which offers subsidized green and blue hydrogen in the ranges of $2.30/kg to $3.00/kg, and $0.90 to $1.20/kg respectively.

Research Highlights:

  • Subpart W Revision – Modeling a New Baseline and the Super-Emitter Wild Card – This report analyzes the operator-level impact of the EPA’s finalized Subpart W reporting rule change under multiple scenarios and examines the risk that super-emitter events could add going forward.
  • Onshore Wind Screening – Benchmarking Prime Development Regions – We build on the Enverus Intelligence Research solar and battery storage market screening analyses to identify top locations for onshore wind projects in the U.S. This market screening considers factors like economic viability, power prices, demand growth, interconnection queues, planned transmission expansion and relative cost of entry via acquisition.
  • ERCOT Fundamentals – Lighting the Lone Star – Gain valuable insights into the future of the ERCOT power market with Enverus Intelligence Research’s comprehensive report, covering generation mix projections, load forecasts, power price impacts, market restructuring, interconnection queues, asset benchmarking and project siting analysis.

About Enverus Intelligence® | Research 
Enverus Intelligence® | Research, Inc. (EIR) is a subsidiary of Enverus that publishes energy-sector research focused on the oil, natural gas, power and renewable industries. EIR publishes reports including asset and company valuations, resource assessments, technical evaluations, and macro-economic forecasts and helps make intelligent connections for energy industry participants, service companies, and capital providers worldwide. Click here to learn more. 

Picture of Smayan Sharma

Smayan Sharma

Smayan joined Enverus in September 2023 as part of the Energy Transition Intelligence team.He is working towards earning a degree in chemical engineering from the University of Alberta. At Enverus he analyses the evolution of all components across the clean hydrogen value chain.

Subscribe to the Enverus Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Related Content

Enverus Press Release - Enverus honored as one of Alberta’s leading employers
Analyst Takes
ByAndrew McConn

The launch of Enverus Intelligence® Global Research significantly enhances our ability to deliver comprehensive global upstream opportunities and insights to our customers. Highlighted below is a recent example of our research on the Vaca Muerta, showcasing the attractive shale opportunities...

Woman-electric-laptop
Trading and Risk
ByAl Salazar, Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR) Contributor

Electric vehicles (EVs) stand at a pivotal moment in Canada and the global energy market. With evolving policies and debates over EV sales mandates, the transition to electric mobility is ripe with both opportunity and uncertainty. As the head of...

Enverus/RatedPower Press Release - RatedPower publishes 2025 Global Renewable Trends Report examining the green landscape
Energy Transition
ByAmyra Mardhani, Enverus Intelligence® | Research (EIR) Contributor

Enverus Intelligence® Research’s recently released CCUS Fundamentals highlights the extremely challenging economics of direct air capture (DAC). Our analysis finds DAC projects are only viable with support from premium carbon dioxide removal (CDR) credits. Currently quoted at ~$600/tonne, the credits...

enverus-power-and-renewables-grid
Power and Renewables
ByAdam Jordan

In the dynamic world of power markets, accurately forecasting transmission constraints is critical for traders and asset managers to make informed decisions. A prime example of this is the Bell County-Sallisaw constraint, which often binds during periods of high South...

Enverus Media Advisory - Trump vs. Harris: A tale of two energy policies
Energy Analytics
ByThomas Mulvihill

U.S. power demand is sprinting ahead of supply growth, leaving grid queues jammed and the industry with little choice but to get creative. MISO just opened an express lane with its Expedited Resource Addition Study (ERAS), driven by annual load...

Enverus Press Release - Forecasting the unpredictable President Trump
Trading and Risk
ByAl Salazar, Enverus Intelligence® Research (EIR) Contributor

Alberta’s government is making waves with potential new ventures in Japan as the province seeks to diversify its customer base beyond the U.S. This unexpected partnership could reshape the province’s energy landscape and global market position. This development comes amid...

Enverus Press Release - Volatile oil prices and counter-consensus natural gas supply growth leaves EIR a touch bearish
Energy Transition
ByThomas Mulvihill

Rising electricity demand is fueling independent system operator (ISO) interconnection requests and power prices across the Lower 48 — making it one of today’s hottest energy topics. Add the One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s tax credit changes for solar, wind...

accurate-grid-forecastin
Power and Renewables
ByEnverus

Superior Wind Load Forecasting in CAISO’s SP15 Hub Our wind forecasting model continues to deliver reliable day-ahead predictions, effectively capturing the dynamic and often volatile wind generation patterns in CAISO’s SP15 Hub. This summer (June and July), our model consistently...

Enverus Intelligence® Research Press Release - Waha prices expected to go negative (again)
Midstream
ByDaniel Steffy

In our last post, we talked about the chaos of disconnected forecasting — when every team has their own spreadsheet, their own version of the truth, and collaboration turns into confusion.   But even if you’ve escaped spreadsheet chaos, there’s another...

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Sign up for our Blog

Register Today

Sign Up

Power Your Insights

Connect with an Expert

Access Product Tour

Speak to an Expert