Energy Analytics Power and Renewables

Why ERCOT Outage Scares Are Vexing Texas in Mild Weather

byScott Bruns

The threats of ERCOT power blackouts are emerging again this spring, just two months after millions of Texans survived freezing temperatures without heat or power during extended blackouts in February 2021.

On Tuesday, April 13, Texas’ power grid again faced failure as extended maintenance work and unseasonable weather patterns brought typical supply levels lower. ERCOT called for power conservation, and averted crisis by the evening, rescinding the request.

By Wednesday, April 14, Texas was again at risk for blackouts due to power supply issues. ERCOT declared it would be “capacity insufficient” from 1-8 p.m CDT. This means ERCOT does not have enough reserves and will ask people in Texas to conserve power again.

Today's Outlook - Current Demand

This is being caused by a weather pattern that is unusually warm for this time of year in South Texas. The results: strong demand and on-peak wind generation that is 6.5 gigawatts, compared with average April wind generation of 11 gigawatts. Solar generation was also lower. It hit only 38% during peak load on April 14, while the average is 72%.

Sign up for power and renewables updates and news

The weather isn’t totally to blame for the power supply issues, of course. The large number of units that are offline for maintenance following the winter storm is also driving this shortage. The reported telemetered outages on April 14 is 21.1 gigawatts, where normally ERCOT would be measuring around 14.5 gigawatts of outages in ERCOT for the third week of April.

Want to learn more from our experts about the stability of the ERCOT grid for summer 2021? Sign up today for our complimentary webinar: ERCOT Outage Deep Dive & Summer 2021 Outlook.

Web presentation - ERCOT Outage Deep Dive and Summer 2021 Outlook

Picture of Scott Bruns

Scott Bruns

Scott D Bruns is the Director of Power Markets at Enverus, leading the research division who specialize in analyzing large datasets for informed decision-making. As an expert in the ERCOT market, he provides comprehensive reports on market trends for various stakeholders. Leveraging his background in power trading and asset management, Scott contributes to the development of innovative SaaS products and offers expertise on US power market fundamentals. As an Enverus spokesperson, he guides clients in asset siting, trading optimization, and investment decisions. Prior to joining Enverus, Scott traded power and provided in fundamental analysis at Direct Energy. He holds a bachelor’s degree in mathematics from the University of Houston. When not obsessed with power markets, Scott spends time with his family who provide the inspiration for all his efforts.

Subscribe to the Enverus Blog

A weekly update on the latest “no-fluff” insight and analysis of the energy industry.

Related Content

Enverus Press Release - Canadian oil sands: Back in the limelight
Power and Renewables
ByRob Allerman

Summer season outlook for the ERCOT, PJM, and MISO power markets

Enverus Press Release - Surfing Europe’s green wave
Power and Renewables
ByRob Allerman

Welcome to our summer outlook for Southwest Power Pool (SPP) for the summer of 2024. We’ll be looking at insights into weather forecasts, load predictions, renewable energy expectations, transmission updates and potential congestion issues and break down the information by...

power-grid-congestion-3
Energy Transition Financial Services
ByRyan Notacker

A look at the capital pools available to different energy transition technologies.

operators
Energy Analytics Operators
ByAndrew Dittmar

Joining a hyperactive M&A market, Devon Energy (ranked ninth on Enverus Top Public Operators list) is acquiring EnCap Investments’ Grayson Mill Energy for $5 billion in cash and stock.

Enverus Press Release - Canadian oil sands: Back in the limelight
Power and Renewables
ByRob Allerman

As we approach the middle of summer 2024, the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) region is slated for a season of dynamic weather, shifting energy demands and evolving renewable energy contributions.

Enverus News Release - Who’s making the connection in southern Louisiana?
Financial Services Midstream
ByRebekah Mitchell

Learn how Enverus inventory solutions adapt to new extraction technologies and market dynamics to better evaluate and capitalize on remaining hydrocarbon reserves.

Enverus press release - Renewing Alberta’s path for renewables
Power and Renewables
ByCarla Rodriguez

The power trading landscape is rapidly evolving with the significant growth of renewable energy sources such as wind and solar.

Enverus Blog
Power and Renewables
ByManas Trivedi

Northeastern parts of the U.S. faced a major heatwave June 17-21. New England saw record-high temperatures across the region for several days.

ev-image
Energy Transition Power and Renewables
ByCarson Kearl

China has proven itself to be a leader in clean energy development across the board, with the nation installing more than 200 GW of solar capacity, surpassing the combined efforts of the rest of the world.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Let’s get started!

We’ll follow up right away to show you a quick product tour.

Sign up for our Blog

Register Today

Sign Up

Power Your Insights

Connect with an Expert

Access Product Tour

Speak to an Expert